Browns at Patriots odds, picks and predictions

The Cleveland Browns (2-5) and New England Patriots (5-2) meet Sunday for a Week 8 game at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Browns vs. Patriots odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Browns picked up a 31-6 victory over the Miami Dolphins as 2.5-point favorites Oct. 19 as the Over (34.5) cashed. Cleveland hadn’t scored more than 17 points in any one game, but it filleted the Dolphins, mostly due to an effective ground game. Rookie RB Quinshon Judkins led the way with 25 carries for 84 yards and 3 rushing scores, while QB Dillon Gabriel passed for 116 yards with 12 rushing yards for his first NFL win.

The Patriots topped the Tennessee Titans 31-13 last week as a 6.5-point favorite on the road as the Over (41) cashed. QB Drake Maye is growing up right in front of our eyes, leading the Patriots back to the top of the AFC East. The offense is good for 23 or more points in 4 straight games, while the defense has allowed 21 or fewer points in 6 of 7 games, and LB K’Lavon Chaisson helped the scoring with a scoop-and-score touchdown.

These teams haven’t met since Oct. 16, 2022, a 38-15 win by the Patriots in Cleveland as 3-point underdogs as the Over (43) cashed. New England has won 5 in a row in the series, covering the past 4 installments. Cleveland’s last win was 34-14 in Cleveland Nov. 7, 2010. It hasn’t won in Foxborough since a 20-0 victory Sept. 8, 1991.

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Browns at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Browns +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Patriots -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread: Browns +7 (-110) | Patriots -7 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Best prop bets

Browns at Patriots key injuries

Browns

TE David Njoku (knee) questionable

Patriots

S Kyle Dugger (knee) questionable

Browns at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 24, Browns 13

AVOID.

The Patriots (-350) will cost you 3½ times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward, even with a promo or boost. If you were to toss New England into a parlay, that isn’t even a great idea, as it would suck a lot of the value out of your ticket.

Back PATRIOTS -7 (-110) to get the job done.

The Patriots have a tremendous rushing defense. In fact, both of these teams are very good against the run. The Patriots are capable of moving the ball through the air, while Gabriel and the Browns are still jelling and learning. It is going to be more of a slow go for Cleveland on offense. Maye is far more superior at this point of his career than the Cleveland rookie.

UNDER 40.5 (-110) is the lean.

Again, the New England rush defense mitigates the strength of the Cleveland offense. After a season-high 31 points, the Browns are likely to struggle putting up points again.

On the road, Cleveland has totaled 26 points in 3 games, or just 8.7 points per game. Expect more struggles, and a low-point total.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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